Tuesday, October 11, 2005

Cameron Sinking Clarke

Contrary to what much of the press concentrated on, the biggest loser from the rise of Cameron has been Clarke. The Davis campaign has suffered of course, but not nearly as much as that of Big Ken, who is seen as a Wet, much like Cameron. The Clarke camp may not openly say this but they are aware of it.
There is concern in the Clarke camp that the rapid advance of the 39-year-old Mr Cameron could cost Mr Clarke, 65, crucial votes and prevent him reaching the shortlist of two chosen by Tory MPs.
The problem is that whilst some of Davis’s peripheral supporters might switch, the idea that enough could come over is fanciful.

Each candidate needs the support of their core, plus MP’s from other wings. If they fail to win their core supporters, those prepared to cross the line will not make up for that.
A prominent Clarke supporter said: "We are not going to win MPs over from David Cameron or Liam Fox. But David Davis's support is soft.
That admission is pretty close to game over. Cameron is wrapping up much of the modernisers, leaving very little for Ken. It is even possible that he comes fourth in the first round.

4 Comments:

At 12:08 pm, Blogger Wat Tyler said...

The only real question now is whether Ken will withdraw quietly, or go down roaring.

One thing's for sure- he'll soon be looking round for some fresh non-exec jobs (given your previous posts on Savoy and Alliance-Unichem...125 grand at A-U, but I haven't seen a fig for Savoy).

 
At 1:27 pm, Blogger Serf said...

If Rifkind were to quietly withdraw prior to the first round, my money would be on Ken to lose.

On the Job front, I'm sure he will have plenty of options, after all he doesn't take his day job too seriously.

 
At 2:45 pm, Anonymous mark said...

Be careful what you wish for... it might come true.

It's not surprising Rifkind has now taken himself out of the race or that he has plumped for Ken. He couldn't win and Clarke it the only one who would give the man a cabinet post.

I do not know exactly what Ken has offered him but it must be good because rats do not usually swim to sinking ships.

 
At 5:54 pm, Blogger DJDave said...

Not just that but if the Davis early backers came out from threats (which we all suppose they did looking his core team) then the Davis vote might well be soft.

 

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